Gallego holds double-digit leads over Lake in Arizona Senate polling


Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego (Ariz.) holds double-digit leads over Republican Kari Lake in the Arizona Senate race, according to a pair of recent polls. 

Gallego has a 13-point lead over Lake, 55 to 42 percent, among likely voters in Arizona and a 14-point advantage, 56 to 42 percent, with the state’s registered voters, according to a Fox News survey released late Thursday. 

He also holds a wide lead in that poll with the state’s independents, 59 to 37 percent, and has a 23-point advantage among women in The Grand Canyon State, amassing 60 percent support while the GOP contender received 37 percent support. Both candidates were tied among white men at 49 percent each, according to the survey. 

The Fox News poll, conducted Sept. 20-24 among 1,021 registered Arizona voters, has a margin of error of 3 percentage points. 

Meanwhile, Gallego enjoys a 10-point lead, 54 to 44 percent, among likely voters, according to a Marist Arizona Poll released on Thursday exploring the race to succeed Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I), who is retiring.

As in the Fox News survey, Gallego has a wide lead in the Marist poll over Lake, who is backed by former President Trump, among independents, with 64 percent support compared to 32 percent who sided with the GOP candidate. 

The Marist poll also found Gallego with a stronger favorability rating than Lake. Around 47 percent of respondents said they had a favorable view of the Marine Corps veteran while 35 percent had an unfavorable view. Approximately 17 percent said they’d never heard of him. Lake, who lost her 2022 gubernatorial bid in the state, had 39 percent favorability rating while 51 percent had an unfavorable view of her, according to the poll. 

The Marist survey was conducted on Sept.19-24 among 1,524 Arizona registered voters. It had a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points. 

In late August, Gallego had a 15-point lead over Lake, according to a Fox News poll.

An Emerson College Polling/ The Hill survey released around the same time found that the House Democrat had 49 percent support compared to Lake’s 42 percent while 10 percent of Arizona’s voters were undecided.

Gallego currently has a 7-point lead over Lake, 49.3 to 42 percent, according to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ aggregate of polls.


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